As we are moving deeper into the summer transfer window, bets on the ins and outs of football clubs and on the footballers’ future or immediate next moves are spiking. In fact the football transfers (which occur during two transfer windows) have emerged as very attractive and sometimes compelling markets for bettors in the last few years.
All European bookmakers, including the top betting sites in Portugal are working in constant alertness, 24/7, in order to be able to offer interesting betting propositions for football transfers to their customers.
So, if you are a fan of betting on things other than a football game, then football transfers can offer you many choices and many lucrative alternatives, especially as there is a continuous fluctuation of odds, based on new info hitting the public. And who knows, betting on football transfers may be your thing in the end.
Football transfer betting might sound like an entertaining, exciting and fascinating thing to do, but don’t be mistaken… It requires a lot of strategic thinking and careful consideration of the different bets and odds.
If you are a recreational or an occasional bettor, then you should most probably pick your bet based on what you believe will happen in the transfer window.
But if you are a more advanced or professional bettor, you probably have a more sophisticated approach that takes into account various factors, such as the home field advantage when betting on a football match or the team roster when betting on eSports, let’s say.
Which are those factors? Let’s see them.
Rumors are rumors for a reason #Not
Too often, we think that rumors are projections of what will happen in the future. If there are rumors about Mbappe moving to a certain club, then we tend to believe that most probably the club has expressed an interest in signing him or that he is interested in joining the club. If we go and bet on the rumor, then we have pretty good chances of losing our money.
Rumors are not always based on some bit of truth. There can be rumors for no reason at all, or even for a reason that has nothing to do with betting and so they can be as irrelevant as going to a bar and listening to two fans speaking about their opinions regarding football transfers.
You should not follow whatever is written in the media, no matter how popular or mainstream a report is about a player’s next move. You should go for more reliable sources and more credible information that is not based on rumors.
Value is the goal
Betting specials like transfer bets are generally very fun for punters and the truth is that because they are fun, people often forget to look for value in those wagers. Not all bets have value of course.
Betting, for example, on whether a player will stay in his current club is almost certainly offered with not so attractive odds, but it is an easy and entertaining bet.
However, the fact that you are dealing with special bets should not distract you from looking out for value. Going over the betting markets frequently, comparing prices between bookmakers and being ready to pick when there is greater value are all things that you should never forget even in bets on football transfers.
Assess all the data for every bet
Whether you want to bet on Barcelona’s next sign or on Neymar’s next permanent club, you need to do a lot of reading and a lot of analysis and critical thinking before you make up your mind. Sometimes the answer is right there in front of you and you can make an informed decision if you take into account some crucial information.
Think for example, a club that is in need of a good defense because they are losing one of their top players. Obviously, this club won’t opt for a footballer that doesn’t have good defending skills, but he is good in the locker room, assuming that the club values its locker room situation and its communication culture really high. There are some things, which can be very helpful when you get to think about them and even though they might sound trivia in the beginning, they might have a lot to say about intentions.
